MENU
SECTIONS
OTHER
CLASSIFIEDS
CONTACT US / FAQ
Advertisement
Toyota displays a customized Time Machine at the launch of the Toyota Mirai hydrogen fuel-cell vehicle at Quixote Studios in West Hollywood, Calif. Japan is investing in fuel-cell technology as part of a national policy to foster what it calls a hydrogen society to power homes and vehicles.
1
MORE

Japan, China race to chart course for future of electric vehicles

INVISION FOR TOYOTA

Japan, China race to chart course for future of electric vehicles

Auto rivals favor competing hydrogen fuel-cell, battery technologies

TOKYO — Asia’s two automobile powerhouses, Japan and China, are jostling for supremacy in how future electric cars should generate their power, from batteries or from hydrogen powered fuel-cells.

In a potentially high-stakes clash reminiscent of Sony and Panasonic in the Beta-VHS video war in the 1980s, the winner could enjoy years of domination if their technology is adopted as a global standard by other manufacturers.

This time, though, there should be a place in the automobile market for both electric battery and hydrogen fuel-cell cars. The key question is which will power more mainstream cars — the market dominated today by the likes of Toyota, General Motors Co., and Volkswagen AG.

Advertisement

“We’re reaching a crossroads,” said James Chao, Shanghai-based Asia-Pacific managing director for industry consultant IHS Automotive. “It’s difficult to exaggerate the significance of the choice between batteries and hydrogen.

“Billions of dollars will be invested in one or the other and may determine which companies will lead the industry through the end of this century.”

China, a major oil importer that is blighted by air pollution, is pushing for all-electric cars, offering incentives to buyers, forcing global automakers to share their technology, and opening its market to tech firms and others to produce electric vehicles.

For a decade, Beijing has pushed for the electric car to become a mass-market vehicle, hoping a low entry barrier will allow its relative latecomers to close a competitive gap with global rivals who have a century’s head-start in traditional combustion engines.

Advertisement

“[China President] Xi Jinping explained it very well, saying that developing new energy vehicles is the Chinese auto industry’s only road to grow from being big to being strong,” said Xu Heyi, chairman of Beijing Automotive Group and a high-ranking Communist Party official.

Japan, though, sees the future differently and is investing heavily in fuel-cell technology and infrastructure as part of a national policy to foster what it calls a “hydrogen society,” where the zero-emission fuel would power homes and vehicles.

Toyota especially is keen to maintain the alternative propulsion lead it established a decade and a half ago with the full hybrid electric Prius.

“It’s not that we’re not doing anything about the [electric car]. Technically speaking, [it] is a relatively easier technology,” said Koei Saga, Toyota’s senior managing officer in charge of vehicle powertrain technology. 

“But it needs to evolve. If you’re looking for the ultimate solution, the [electric car] probably isn’t it,” he said.

China and Japan are not alone. GM has joint research with Honda on hydrogen cars, while BMW is Toyota’s fuel-cell partner. Daimler in Europe and Hyundai Motor in South Korea are also carrying out their own research and development on a hydrogen car.

Honda Motor unveiled a “mass market” hydrogen fuel-cell car at the recent Tokyo Motor Show that will go on sale in Japan in March, to be followed by launches in the United States and Europe, key potential markets.

Honda believes the car, dubbed the Clarity Fuel Cell, has reached the affordability range where a “fairly typical mainstream consumer could stretch to buy one,” said Toshihiro Mibe, a Honda operating officer. “We want this car to be the trigger for the ‘hydrogen society.’”

The Clarity, which will retail for $63,970 before subsidies, follows this year’s launch of Toyota’s hydrogen-powered Mirai — meaning “future” in Japanese. Mirai buyers benefit from subsidies totaling about $24,915 a vehicle.

Honda’s main advance on Toyota’s technology is to have shrunk the fuel-cell stack — the ensemble of fuel-cell, motor, and transmission — by a third from a 2008 model it leased to a few private buyers in California in a subsidized trial deal.

That allows Honda to store the whole stack under the hood, and package the car as “roomy enough to comfortably sit five adults,” said Kiyoshi Shimizu, chief engineer for the new car. It still sacrifices trunk space to accommodate a bulky hydrogen fuel tank. The battery pack sits under the front seat.

“With this, we now hope to make a hydrogen powertrain an option across our product line,” Mr. Shimizu added.

China, meanwhile, is running full tilt at electric vehicles and has opened its automotive industry to deep-pocketed technology firms to invest.

The move has bred more than half a dozen Chinese-funded electric car start-ups, backed by the likes of Baidu, Alibaba , Xiaomi, and Tencent, as well as LeTV, a streaming video and web-connected television provider.

Some, such as LeTV-funded Atieva and Faraday Future, have set up operations in California, in part to skim off talent and expertise that Tesla and others have developed there. Both aim specifically to create plush electric cars to compete with Tesla’s Model S in the next two or three years.

One industry official said this goal should be taken seriously given the start-ups’ funding clout.

In a carrot-and-stick policy, Beijing provides subsidies for private buyers of more than $25,000 on an all-electric battery car and more than half that on a heavily electrified, so-called plug-in hybrid. It has also toughened fuel economy rules to force automakers to introduce more electric cars, and encourages global automakers operating in China to share electric car technology with their local partners.

Neither technology, however, comes without sizable challenges, from regulation and subsidies to infrastructure.

Both need to significantly expand the number of refueling and recharging stations and, while electric cars still need to convince long-distance drivers, hydrogen’s appeal to the masses may be blunted by its cost.

“There’s a lot more room for the fuel-cell vehicle to improve and evolve,” Mr. Mibe said.

First Published November 1, 2015, 4:02 a.m.

RELATED
SHOW COMMENTS  
Join the Conversation
We value your comments and civil discourse. Click here to review our Commenting Guidelines.
Must Read
Partners
Advertisement
Toyota displays a customized Time Machine at the launch of the Toyota Mirai hydrogen fuel-cell vehicle at Quixote Studios in West Hollywood, Calif. Japan is investing in fuel-cell technology as part of a national policy to foster what it calls a hydrogen society to power homes and vehicles.  (INVISION FOR TOYOTA)
INVISION FOR TOYOTA
Advertisement
LATEST business
Advertisement
Pittsburgh skyline silhouette
TOP
Email a Story